Thursday, March 8, 2012

Scorecasting

I am currently reading score casting by moskowitz and werthiem. Score casting is about, proving the theory's of sports. For instance you may have heard the saying defense wins championships, and you probably think that is true over 75% of the time. According to the champions in the big four sports over the last twenty years the champion has had a dominant defense, or in the top ten in their sport only 52% of the time. Which is 33% less than our original hypothesis. This book also helps prove the superstar theory. The superstar theory is that star players are treated differently than regular player. Common sports wisdom states that every superstar should be treated better than the regular player. This is true. In the NBA a superstar player with 5 fouls with four minutes or less in the game has only a 12% chance of picking up his 6th foul that would force him to leave the game. While the pedestrian player, not the superstar has a 75% chance of picking up the 6th foul that would force him to leave the game. Score casting also proves baseball theory, this book proves that umpires call much smaller strike zones in and 0 and 2 count, conversely the umpires call a much larger strike zone with a 3-0 strike zone.



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